AFL · 2026
// AFL · PROP INTELLIGENCE · INDEPENDENTSEASON 2026 / R12

AFL propintelligence,not punter advice.

Tier-classified picks. Live team-list change detection. Hit rates published every round — against the same AFL Tables your bookmaker settles on.

Start free →See the 92% proof

FREE TIER · NO CARDPro from $79/mo AUD · cancel anytime

/01

Independent verification

SETTLED · AFL TABLES
STRICT TIER · 2026 SEASON
92%
STRICT-tier disposals hit rate across 437 closing-line snapshots through R12. Settled against official AFL Tables stats — every tier shown below.
TierHit rateSnapshots
STRICT92%437
STANDARD85%529
LOOSE76%677
Snapshots tracked
1,643+
Opening + closing per market
Seasons of data
1
2026 settled
Markets covered
2
Disposals · Alt lines
Settlement
100%
No retroactive re-classification

See the full breakdown by tier, market, and round →

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The surface

03 PRODUCTS · ONE DESK
01

Tier system

Every prop classified STRICT / STANDARD / LOOSE / DQ against a transparent rubric: TOG%, CG%, opponent context, role. Reviewed weekly, settled against AFL Tables.

  • Disposals + Alt Lines
  • Per-tier hit-rate published per round
  • Methodology fully documented
See this round's tiers →
02

Live tracker

T-minus team-list captures every Thursday through Sunday. We surface late OUTs the moment they hit AFL.com.au — typically 10 to 90 minutes before bookmakers shorten lines.

  • Bench / interchange diagram per match
  • Pre-90 and T-85 closing snapshots
  • Late-change email alerts (Pro)
Try the live tracker →
03

Tagger intelligence

Two seasons of tagger assignments, scored against the tagged player's disposal lines. Find the matchups where a tag has historically broken the line, and the ones where it hasn't.

  • Tagger-vs-target ledger per team
  • Disposal impact in tagged vs untagged games
  • Filter by season, round, opponent
Browse tagger history →
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Plans

AUD · MONTHLY
ProMOST POPULAR
$79/ month

Full UI access. Every tier pick, every live tracker, every late-change alert.

  • Tier picks · Disposals / Alt lines
  • Live tracker + bench diagram
  • Odds movement + slip builder
  • Late team-list change email alerts
  • Personal watchlists
See full plans →
SyndicateFOR TEAMS
$499/ month

Everything in Pro, plus API access, team sharing up to 5 seats, and priority support.

  • Everything in Pro
  • Read-only JSON API · v1
  • Team sharing · up to 5 users
  • Priority support
  • API key management
See full plans →

Free accounts get the public hit-rate dashboards, every player page, every team page. No card required.

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Questions

05 · ANSWERED
01What is the tier system?
Every prop we publish is classified STRICT, STANDARD, LOOSE, or DQ. Tiers reflect how confident the rubric is that the player clears their line, given role, time-on-ground, recent form, opponent context, and team-list certainty. STRICT picks are the highest-conviction set; LOOSE picks are flagged for transparency but not recommended. We publish settled hit rates per tier, every round.
02How do you calculate the hit rate?
Each round we capture an opening snapshot (Tuesday/Wednesday) and a closing snapshot (T-85 minutes per match). After the games settle, we scrape official AFL Tables stats and mark each snapshot hit or miss. Hit rate = hits / total snapshots, per tier, per market, per season. No re-classification after the fact.
03What data sources do you use?
Player and team stats come from AFL Tables (afltables.com) and the official AFL.com.au feed. Odds are captured from TAB and additional Australian books. Tagger history is hand-coded from match footage and reviewed weekly. We do not ingest tipster signals or paywalled feeds.
04Am I betting through Statline?
No. Statline is an analytics tool. We publish research, snapshots, and hit rates. We do not accept stakes, hold funds, hand out tips by DM, or take a cut of anything you place elsewhere. The product is upstream of the bookies, not a bookie alternative.
05Do you offer a free tier?
Yes. Free accounts get the public hit rate dashboards, every player page, and every team page. Tier picks for the current round, the live tracker, late-change alerts, and the slip builder are on Pro ($79/mo AUD).